Lewistown, Montana 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Lewistown MT
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Lewistown MT
Issued by: National Weather Service Great Falls, MT |
Updated: 11:01 pm MDT Apr 24, 2025 |
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Overnight
 Mostly Clear
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Friday
 Mostly Sunny
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Friday Night
 Partly Cloudy
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Saturday
 Mostly Sunny then Chance Showers
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Saturday Night
 Chance Showers then Partly Cloudy
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Sunday
 Chance Showers then Showers
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Sunday Night
 Showers
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Monday
 Showers Likely
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Monday Night
 Partly Cloudy
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Lo 29 °F |
Hi 54 °F |
Lo 33 °F |
Hi 68 °F |
Lo 40 °F |
Hi 65 °F |
Lo 38 °F |
Hi 50 °F |
Lo 35 °F |
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Overnight
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Mostly clear, with a low around 29. East southeast wind around 8 mph. |
Friday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 54. Southeast wind 8 to 13 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 28 mph. |
Friday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 33. East southeast wind 13 to 18 mph decreasing to 6 to 11 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 26 mph. |
Saturday
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A 30 percent chance of showers after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 68. Light and variable wind becoming east 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. |
Saturday Night
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A 30 percent chance of showers before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. Southeast wind 5 to 7 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. |
Sunday
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A chance of showers, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. High near 65. Calm wind becoming north northwest 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. |
Sunday Night
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Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 38. North northwest wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. |
Monday
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Showers likely, mainly before noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 50. Northwest wind 13 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. |
Monday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 35. |
Tuesday
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A slight chance of showers after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 62. |
Tuesday Night
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A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. |
Wednesday
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A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 58. |
Wednesday Night
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A slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 37. |
Thursday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Lewistown MT.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
718
FXUS65 KTFX 250551
AFDTFX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
1151 PM MDT Thu Apr 24 2025
Aviation Section Updated.
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Increasing opportunity for afternoon showers and thunderstorms
across Central and Southwest Montana heading into the weekend.
- Impactful rain and snow Sunday into Monday across portions of
Central and Southwest Montana.
- Another opportunity for precipitation Tuesday into Wednesday
of next week.
&&
.UPDATE...
/Issued 845 PM MDT Thu Apr 24 2025/
Showers that primarily moved across areas near the ID border late
this afternoon are ending as the associated upper level
disturbance moves east into S-central MT this evening. Skies are
clearing across the area and fog has already developed in the West
Yellowstone area and is likely to remain in the vicinity through
much of the overnight period. East winds remain breezy across the
area this evening and are enhanced across portions of southwest
MT, including over the Bridgers and up the Jefferson and Madison
river valleys, where 25-30 mph gusts are possible through the
early overnight period. Hoenisch
&&
.DISCUSSION...
/Issued 845 PM MDT Thu Apr 24 2025/
- Meteorological Overview:
Upper level ridging is in place across the region, extending well
northward into Canada, between a high amplitude trough off the
Pacific coast and weaker troughing toward the Great Lakes. A weak
system undercutting the ridge today will keep an opportunity for
showers and perhaps a thunderstorm or two around across Central and
Southwest Montana, but mainly near the Idaho border. The Pacific
troughing nudges eastward and develops into an upper level low
tomorrow off the CA coast, introducing a southerly flow aloft. The
upper low slowly shifts northeastward this weekend into early next
week, bringing several impacts to the region.
The initial impact will be for increasing opportunities for showers
and thunderstorms, first across Southwest Montana Friday afternoon
and early evening, spreading northward into Central Montana as well
for Saturday and Sunday afternoon and evening. Thereafter, as the
core of the upper low passes by Sunday night into Monday, a more
stratiform type of precipitation develops across the region.
Guidance continues to focus on areas near and south of I-90 and east
of I-15 for the most impactful precipitation. Snow levels will fall
through the night from Sunday night into Monday morning as the core
of the upper low approaches and eventually passes. How low snow
levels eventually fall will likely be dictated by precipitation
rate and timing of heaviest precipitation, which is not clear at
this time. Nonetheless, those in the aforementioned area should be
prepared for a period of rain or snow Sunday into Monday, with
potential for snow at pass level.
A third concern over this timeframe will be for increased runoff in
areas where rain overlaps with a snowpack that will be ready to
melt. Warm temperatures during the day this weekend will lead to
snowpack temperatures rising to the freezing mark outside of the
higher elevations. A complicating factor will be for overnight
temperatures getting down toward or below freezing in the mountains.
Confidence in the situation will change as higher resolution
guidance comes in, but the main takeaway at this point is to be
prepared for at least muddy conditions in areas adjacent to snowpack
outside of high elevations.
The upper level low weakens into an open wave Monday and quickly
exits eastward through the day. Upper level ridging looks to attempt
to build in Tuesday and Wednesday, though deterministic guidance
does feature a wave passing through the northwesterly flow aloft
over this timeframe. This will keep at least low-end chance for
precipitation in the forecast over this timeframe. Heading toward
Thursday and Friday, cluster guidance gives good confidence for a
period of upper level ridging, with only uncertainty related to how
quickly the ridging ends up being broken down/ushered east toward
next weekend. -AM
- Forecast Confidence & Scenarios:
The main point of uncertainty stems from precipitation amounts and
snow levels Sunday night into Monday morning. Ensembles are in
relatively good agreement that the area for highest precipitation
amounts be southeast/south of a Dillon to Lewistown line, with
greatest amounts in the Gallatins, Madisons and vicinity. Most
terrain east of I-15 and south of the MT-200 corridor has a greater
than 50% chance for a half an inch of precipitation from Sunday into
Monday. As mentioned above, where snow levels ultimately fall across
the region will depend on precipitation timing and intensity.
Probabilistic guidance does not support much of a chance for snow at
pass level across Southwest Montana where precipitation looks to
be heaviest, but with deterministic BUFKIT soundings at the
Bozeman Airport suggesting snow levels falling at least briefly to
1,000-1,500 ft AGL (5,500-6,000 ft MSL), it does not seem
unreasonable to think snow at passes in the area could occur.
Given the time horizon of this event still being several days out,
I did not do too much forcing of the forecast to reflect this
opportunity for snow at pass levels across SW MT and vicinity. As
we get closer to the event and confidence in the when/where of
higher precipitation amounts grow, these changes will become more
and more likely. -AM
&&
.AVIATION...
25/06Z TAF Period
A high pressure ridge aloft will continue VFR conditions with
mostly clear to partly cloudy skies through at least 26/06Z for
much of North Central, Central, and Southwest Montana.
However, dense fog and low clouds in the KWYS valley area will
likely continue terrain-obscuring LIFR/VLIFR conditions there
through around 16Z. A disturbance with weak instability will then
bring increasing VFR cloudiness to Southwest Montana after 18Z,
possibly with a few showers and maybe a thunderstorm to the KWYS
area. Thunderstorm coverage should be isolated at most, so have
not included mention of thunder in the KWYS TAF.
A mid-level southeasterly wind flow will increase through the
period, potentially bringing periods of low-level wind shear
through around 15Z, after which the gusty southeast winds should
mix down to the surface. -Coulston
Refer to weather.gov/zlc for more detailed regional aviation
weather and hazard information.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF 30 64 34 70 / 0 0 0 30
CTB 29 61 32 67 / 0 0 0 10
HLN 33 65 37 70 / 10 10 10 40
BZN 29 59 35 69 / 10 10 10 20
WYS 21 58 29 61 / 50 10 30 10
DLN 27 61 38 66 / 10 10 20 20
HVR 30 64 33 71 / 0 0 0 0
LWT 29 54 33 68 / 0 10 0 20
&&
.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls
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